New Poll: Millennials considered swing vote in upcoming election

New Poll: Millennials considered swing vote in upcoming election


On Wednesday, the Harvard Institute of Politics (IOP) released a new poll of 18-29 year olds. Here are some of the key findings about America’s largest generation and how they might vote next Tuesday:

  • 50% of 18-29 year olds would prefer that Congress is controlled by Democrats instead of Republicans, but among those who say that they will “definitely vote,” a slightly higher percentage (51%) prefers a GOP-run Congress with 47% of those voters wanting the Democrats to be in charge.
  • President Obama’s job approval rating among young adults has declined from 47% in April 2014 to 43% presently.
  • Young whites disapprove of the President by a two-to-one margin, while 78% of young African Americans approve of the President.
  • There has been a significant drop in the approval rating that young Latinos have for President Obama, which was at 60% six months ago and is now at 49%.

The upshot of this poll in terms of the partisan score for the upcoming midterm election is that young people are not as excited about the Democrats and the President, but if younger people have a higher than expected turnout, it could give the Democrats an edge because overall, Democrats are still favored by this group.

Photo credit: Washington State House Republicans via Flickr, Rep. Zeiger speaks to community college students in Olympia